Investors Back SBY’s Bailout Defense
The Jakarta Globe
March 6, 2010
by Ardian Wibisono
Investors and business leaders on Friday welcomed President
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s steadfast defense of Vice President
Boediono and Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati over the
Bank Century bailout, saying it should help improve confidence
in the government.
The president’s statement appeared to reassure investors that he
would not bow to political pressure to ditch Sri Mulyani and
Boediono, who are both seen as vital to the country’s reform
drive.
Several indicators reflected the positive reaction to
Yudhoyono’s speech. The benchmark Jakarta Composite Index rose
0.5 percent to 2,578.77 on Friday, and the country’s
credit-default swaps, a kind of insurance on bond defaults, fell
by 4.4 percent on Thursday night.
“The rising JCI and improvement in the credit-default swaps is
due to easing global economic worries and investor confidence in
taking more risk. However, the president’s speech also
contributed and created a positive reaction,” said Fauzi Ichsan,
an economist with Standard Chartered Bank. “The firm statement
should also signal to the real sector to start expanding their
businesses and end their wait-and-see approach.”
In a speech on Thursday night, Yudhoyono said the bailout not
only was meant to save the small, troubled bank but the
country’s entire banking system amid an escalating global
financial crisis.
He added that the move, taken in late 2008 by Sri Mulyani and
Boediono, then central bank governor, was legitimate.
Djimanto, secretary general of the Indonesian Employers
Association (Apindo), agreed that Yudhoyono’s statement eased
worries among some business leaders over the country’s political
outlook.
“With less worries on the political front, we can be more
focused on expanding our businesses,” he said.
However, the relationship between the government and the House
of Representatives might have been damaged by the inquiry, which
also saw the president’s governing coalition come under intense
strain.
“A looser relationship between the House and the government
would make it harder for the government to get approval from the
House for things like revising this year’s state budget,”
Djimanto said. “It would not impact overall economic growth but
it could delay government spending.”
Confidence in the government has fallen significantly since the
House inquiry into the Bank Century bailout began.
A survey by the state’s Danareksa Research Institute showed that
the Consumer Confidence in the Government Index had fallen from
118.9 points in August to 99.6 in January. A reading above 100
shows optimism. Anything below that level reflects pessimism.
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